Sephie, on 11 November 2009 - 08:25 AM, said:
actually, they get exponentially less worse. like say you cap accuracy on barrage, that's 5% chance of missing the first hit. it would be a like...9.9% chance of missing one of the first 2 hits, like...14% chance of missing one of the first 3, etcetera
well, i guess you could say it's exponentially worse, because it technically follows an exponential trend that goes steadily downward the more hits there are in multihit ws/barrage, but it's not going like 5 11 18, it's going 5 10 14. it's approximately 69% chance of hitting a 7-hit barrage (same figure for dancing edge /nin) and i hit that pretty frequently on my thf, and there's no way i have capped acc during WS
Jaybb, on 15 November 2009 - 02:32 AM, said:
This is the right equation for barrage. For every shot you would deduct 5% from the chance that you would hit all of the shots. Ignore the whole melee WS thing.
An equation would look something like
100 * .95^x
where X is the number of shots in your barrage.
Now if there are 7 shots fired at 95% acc you have a 69% chance to hit them all. Now you may be wondering what your chances are to land 0 1 2 3 4 5 or 6 shots. There is a approximately a 5% chance to miss on each of those shots meaning you have a
5% chance to hit 0 shots
4.75% chance to hit 1 shot
4.5% chance to hit 2 shots
4.3% chance to hit 3 shots
4.1% chance to hit 4 shots
3.8% chance to hit 5 shots
3.7% chance to hit 6 shots
and a 69.83% chance to hit all 7 shots
Again, I'm tired so sorry if this makes no sense but I'm pretty sure those number are close enough it makes no difference.
since i'm tired and don't want to do more math (not to mention math of probability, which i hate), i'm going to just say that this backs up my math. the chance of landing 7/7 barrage isn't much worse than attempting to land 6/7, and what you wear for pants really doesn't affect your barrage damage output that much, unless you're wearing hachi haidate :/
for lack of something better to do with the add-on pants, i now am the (sort of) proud owner of a piece of equipment with racc+7/barrage+1 that look like i glued a couple of steel millipedes to a pair of chaps